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2024-12-14 07:40:50

China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Shanghai ranks third in the world! The Global Financial Technology Center Development Index (2024) was released. It was learned from the 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology that the Shanghai Financial Technology Industry Alliance released the "Global Financial Technology Center Development Index (2024)", which was released for the second consecutive year. The results of this index show that new york, London, Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Tokyo, Chicago, Hong Kong, Singapore and San Francisco rank among the top ten in the world. The index is mainly composed of indicators such as the development level, development potential and development environment of financial technology, which intuitively reflects the development of financial technology in different cities around the world in quantitative form. Compared with the previous index, the list of the top ten cities remains unchanged, but the gap between the index scores of cities has further narrowed, showing the increasingly fierce competition in the development of financial technology in major cities around the world. (CBN)


On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The Third Green Conference of Electronic Information Industry was held in Beijing. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, on December 11th, China Institute of Electronic Technology Standardization held the Third Green Conference of Electronic Information Industry in Beijing. At the meeting, relevant comrades of the Department of Energy Conservation and Comprehensive Utilization of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said that the electronic information industry is an important strategic and basic industry, and it is also a key industry to vigorously promote green development. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has adopted a series of policy measures around strengthening source control, promoting green manufacturing, and strengthening resource recycling, so as to promote the green development of the entire process and chain of the electronic information industry and help the construction of new industrialization. Relevant experts, scholars and business representatives conducted extensive exchanges on topics such as the control of harmful substances in electrical and electronic products, green supply chain management, and coordinated development of digital green.Yiwei lithium can pass the medical device quality management system certification (ISO 13485:2016). Yiwei lithium news, recently, Yiwei lithium can obtain the medical device quality management system certification (ISO 13485:2016) issued by DNV, and the certification scope includes the design, manufacture and sales of lithium batteries and secondary lithium batteries for medical devices. It indicates that Yiwei lithium can reach the international level in research and development, manufacturing and quality management of medical battery products.


On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Guangdong Electric Power A and others set up enterprise service companies with AI business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Guangdong Energy Group Enterprise Service Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Xu Lin and the registered capital of 150 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence basic resources and technology platform; Research and development of intelligent robots; Artificial intelligence industry application system integration services. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by Guangdong Electric Power A and others.Goldman Sachs lowered the UK's GDP growth forecast for 2024 from the previous 1.2% to 1.0%.

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